Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 70.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 10.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Vitoria
70.64% ( -0.05)	19.06% ( 0.02)	10.29% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 40.61% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.98% (

-0.03)

50.02% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28% (

-0.02)

71.99% (

0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.06% (

-0.02)

12.94% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.6% (

-0.05)

39.4% (

0.05)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.65% (

0.03)

53.35% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.13% (

0.02)

86.87% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 70.64%

Vitoria 10.29%

Draw 19.06%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Vitoria
2-0 @ 14.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 14.11% 3-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 70.64%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 19.06%	0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 10.29%