Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Fluminense
Sep 1, 2024 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Sao Paulo
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 31' goal
  • Thiago 50' yellowcard
  • Facundo Bernal 58' yellowcard
  • Keno 80' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silva 86' yellowcard
  • Keno 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Rafinha 32'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Calleri 38'
  • yellowcard Damian Bobadilla 42'
  • yellowcard Welington 90'+6'

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Aug 25, 2024 1.00am
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 2 Fluminense
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jhon Arias

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 25, 2024 10.30pm
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Lucas Moura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result

Fluminense 40.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 28.18%
Sao Paulo 31.76% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.64% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 59.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 20.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 79.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 8.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 91.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 71.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 28.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.89% ▲ (+0.05)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 65.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 34.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 28.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 71.02% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Fluminense 40.05%
Draw 28.18%
Sao Paulo 31.76%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 12.31% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 40.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.18%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 10.64% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 31.76%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Sao Paulo
May 14, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Fluminense
  • Rodrigo Nestor 9' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 9' yellowcard
  • Damian Bobadilla 32' goal
  • Damian Bobadilla 33' goal
  • Alisson 34' yellowcard
  • Alisson 34' yellowcard
  • Luciano 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Luciano 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 59' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 59' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 84' goal
  • Robert Arboleda 84' goal
  • Erick 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Erick 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manoel 24'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 24'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 24'
  • yellowcard Manoel 25'
  • goal Igor Vinicius 29' (OG)
  • goal Igor Vinicius 29' (OG)
  • redcard Fernando Diniz 45'+7'
  • redcard Fernando Diniz 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 56'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Fluminense
Nov 23, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Sao Paulo
  • <TBD> 10' goal
  • Guga 13' yellowcard
  • Guga 13' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 17' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 17' yellowcard
  • Ganso 20' yellowcard
  • Ganso 20' yellowcard
  • German Cano 28' yellowcard
  • German Cano 28' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 47' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 47' yellowcard
  • German Cano 54' goal
  • German Cano 54' goal
  • Alexsander 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Alexsander 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 9'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 9'
  • yellowcard Diego 20'
  • yellowcard Diego 20'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 28'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 28'
  • redcard Gabriel Neves 29'
  • redcard Gabriel Neves 29'
  • yellowcard David 60'
  • yellowcard David 60'
  • yellowcard Nathan Mendes 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Nathan Mendes 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Sao Paulo
Jul 1, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Fluminense
  • Luciano 87' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Fluminense
Nov 5, 2022 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Sao Paulo
  • German Cano 48' goal
  • German Cano 56' goal
  • German Cano 59' goal
  • goal Luciano 30'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
Jul 17, 2022 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Fluminense
  • Diego 18' yellowcard
  • Luciano 31' yellowcard
  • Luciano 34' goal
  • Patrick 42' goal
  • Patrick 67' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 79' yellowcard
  • goal Andre 25'
  • goal Manoel 64'
  • yellowcard Andre 79'
  • yellowcard Caio Paulista 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Fluminense
Sep 13, 2021 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Sao Paulo
  • Nino 50' goal
  • Fred 57' yellowcard
  • Nino 58' yellowcard
  • Luiz Henrique 66' goal
  • Luccas Claro 72' yellowcard
  • Andre 85' yellowcard
  • Raul Bobadilla 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 36'
  • goal Reinaldo 60'
  • yellowcard Miranda 76'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Rigoni 80'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 87'

Form Data

Atletico Mineiro 0 - 2 Fluminense
Fluminense 2 - 1 Gremio
Fluminense 0 - 0 Corinthians
Gremio 2 - 1 Fluminense
Vasco 2 - 0 Fluminense
Fluminense 2 - 2 Juventude
Sao Paulo 0 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vitoria
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Nacional
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Nacional 0 - 0 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Atletico GO