Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
Gremio2 - 1Fluminense
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-3 Gremio
Saturday, August 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, August 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Fluminense
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Gremio 1-1 Fluminense
Throughout the tournament, Fluminense have frequently made strong half-time adjustments, and we believe their resiliency will enable them to claim a result in a place that has proven to be quite difficult for them over the past few years. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Fluminense |
51.02% ( -0.55) | 26.18% ( 0.51) | 22.81% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.18% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
