Copa Libertadores
Aug 13, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
  • Agustin Marchesin 68' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 72' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 74' goal
  • Reinaldo 77' goal
  • Rodrigo Ely 84' redcard
  • goal Vinicius Lima 58'
  • yellowcard Ganso 68'
  • yellowcard Thiago 72'
  • yellowcard Esquerdinha 76'

Gremio vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions

Fluminense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result

Gremio 51.02% (-0.56)
Draw 26.18% (+0.52)
Fluminense 22.81% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.18% (-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.02% (-1.82)
Under 2.5 56.98% (+1.81)
Over 3.5 22.12% (-1.48)
Under 3.5 77.88% (+1.47)
Over 4.5 9.58% (-0.90)
Under 4.5 90.42% (+0.90)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 77.58% (-0.99)
Under 0.5 22.42% (+0.99)
Over 1.5 44.05% (-1.50)
Under 1.5 55.95% (+1.50)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 59.52% (-0.99)
Under 0.5 40.48% (+0.99)
Over 1.5 22.92% (-0.91)
Under 1.5 77.08% (+0.91)

Score analysis

Gremio 51%
Draw 26.17%
Fluminense 22.81%
Gremio
1-0 @ 13.56% (+0.54)
2-0 @ 10.14% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.22)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.08% (+0.62)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.17%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 8.21% (+0.35)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.71% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 22.81%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Pedro Geromel 36' yellowcard
  • Douglas Moreira 55' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Nunes 61' goal
  • yellowcard German Cano 39'
  • yellowcard Jan Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez 52'
  • redcard Jan Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Jhon Arias 34' goal
  • Andre 36' yellowcard
  • Nino 45'+5' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 72' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 81' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 32'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 36'
  • goal Luis Suarez 43'
  • goal Everton Galdino 45'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 45'+4'
  • goal Luis Suarez 64'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Aug 13, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Bitello 25' goal
  • Mathias Villasanti 42' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 45'+1' goal
  • Fabio Da Silva 46' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 82' yellowcard
  • goal German Cano 19'
  • yellowcard Marlon Santos 27'
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 30'
  • yellowcard F. Diniz 32'
  • yellowcard Danielzinho 57'
  • yellowcard Andre 73'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 10, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diego Souza 62' goal
  • Lucas Silva 75' yellowcard
  • Douglas Costa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nino 45'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jul 18, 2021 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lucca 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Henrique 42'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 46'
  • goal Cesar Pinares 90'
  • yellowcard Jean Pyerre 90'+8'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Nov 8, 2020 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Pepe 28'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'