Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Brasilia
  • Luis Zubeldia 29' yellowcard
  • Luciano 39' yellowcard
  • Igor Coronado 52' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 45'+8' goal
  • Charles 69' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 76' goal
  • Alan Franco 87' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 90'+8' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fagner 28'
  • yellowcard Igor Coronado 48'
  • redcard Fagner 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 45'+11'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 64'
  • redcard Andre Ramalho 64'
  • goal Yuri Alberto 83'
  • yellowcard Pedro Henrique 85'

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 22, 2024 10.30pm
Sao Paulo 1 - 3 Internacional
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Lucas Moura

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 8.00pm
Corinthians 3 - 0 Atletico GO
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Yuri Alberto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result

Sao Paulo 51.8% (-0.02)
Draw 26.61% (+0.05)
Corinthians 21.59% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.68% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.48% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 59.51% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 20.13% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 79.87% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 8.41% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 91.59% (+0.08)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 76.85% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 23.15% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 42.97% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 57.03% (+0.12)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 56.84% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 43.16% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 20.57% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 79.42% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 51.8%
Draw 26.61%
Corinthians 21.59%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 14.62% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 10.69% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 51.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.99% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.61%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 8.4% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 21.59%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Antonio Oliveira 22' yellowcard
  • Igor Coronado 31' goal
  • Luciano 42' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Silva 45'+2' goal
  • Caetano 69' yellowcard
  • Caetano 78' redcard
  • Breno Bidon 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Moura 4'
  • yellowcard Young Navarro Moraes 4'
  • yellowcard Diego 21'
  • goal Caca 41' (OG)
  • yellowcard Carlos Miguel 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Moura 83'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Sep 30, 2023 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Wellington Rato 24' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 40' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 45'+2' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Lucas Beraldo 52' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 55' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Neves 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Angel Romero 3'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 33'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Silva 38'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 16, 2023 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Wellington Rato 13' goal
  • Lucas Moura 32' goal
  • yellowcard Murillo 68'
  • yellowcard Gil 90'+9'
Copa do Brasil
Jul 26, 2023 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Renato Augusto 48' goal
  • Renato Augusto 48' goal
  • Renato Augusto 81' goal
  • Renato Augusto 81' goal
  • yellowcard Pablo Maia 44'
  • goal Cassio Ramos 55' (OG)
  • goal Cassio Ramos 55' (OG)
  • yellowcard Luciano 57'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 14, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Roger Guedes 45'+6' goal
  • goal Michel Araujo 15'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 11, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Eder 33' goal
  • goal Yuri Alberto 14'