Brasileiro | Gameweek 28

Sep 29, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nacional de Brasilia

Sao Paulo
3 - 1
Corinthians

Moura (45+8' pen.), Arboleda (76'), Silva (90+8')
Zubeldia (29'), Luciano (39'), Coronado (52'), Charles (69'), Franco (87'), Ferraresi (90+5'), Calleri (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alberto (83')
Fagner (28'), Romero (45+11'), Coronado (48'), Rafinha (64'), Henrique (85')
Fagner (45+5'), Ramalho (64')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Botafogo (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 26 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Corinthians
51.8% ( -0.02)	26.61% ( 0.05)	21.59% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 43.68% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.48% (

-0.17)

59.51% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.13% (

-0.13)

79.87% (

0.13)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

-0.08)

23.15% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97% (

-0.12)

57.03% (

0.12)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.84% (

-0.12)

43.16% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.57% (

-0.11)

79.42% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 51.8%

Corinthians 21.59%

Draw 26.61%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.8%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.59%