MX23RW : Tuesday, October 8 21:16:11| >> :60:535:535:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Racing

Victor Machado Cruz (38')
Rocha (22'), Gabriel (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martirena (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico Paranaense and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, September 14 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Racing Club

After such a convincing victory in their previous Copa Sudamericana affair, we believe Racing may be knocked down a peg against El Paranaense, who know what it is like to go deep into a competition like this and should provide much stiffer competition for the Argentines than Huachipato. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawRacing Club
45.12% (-0.126 -0.13) 26.21% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 28.67% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)53.14% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (-0.032 -0.03)74.71% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)23.48% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (-0.111 -0.11)57.5% (0.11 0.11)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (0.060000000000002 0.06)33.31% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (0.064999999999998 0.06)69.93% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 45.12%
    Racing Club 28.67%
    Draw 26.2%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 28.67%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Racing

Athletico Paranaense
61.3%
Draw
16.1%
Racing Club
22.6%
31
rhs 2.0
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