Copa Sudamericana
Sep 20, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 3 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Kaique Rocha 22' yellowcard
  • Kaique Rocha 22' yellowcard
  • Kaique Rocha 22' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 26' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 26' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 26' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor Machado Cruz 38' goal
  • Joao Victor Machado Cruz 38' goal
  • Joao Victor Machado Cruz 38' goal
  • yellowcard Gaston Martirena 80'
  • yellowcard Gaston Martirena 80'
  • yellowcard Gaston Martirena 80'

Athletico Paranaense vs Racing Club - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Racing Club

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 45.12% (-0.13)
Draw 26.21% (+0.03)
Racing Club 28.67% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.04% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.86% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.14% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.29% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.71% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.54% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 88.46% (+0.03)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 76.53% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 23.48% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 42.5% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 57.5% (+0.11)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5 66.69% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 33.31% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 30.07% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 69.93% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 45.12%
Draw 26.2%
Racing Club 28.67%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.2%
Racing Club
0-1 @ 8.6% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.85% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.73% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 28.67%