Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.