Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Aug 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Cruzeiro

Cavani (65', 65')
Fernandez (23'), Fernandez (23'), Martinez (24'), Martinez (24'), Zeballos (90'), Zeballos (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira (23'), Pereira (23'), Walace (30'), Walace (30'), Romero (41'), Romero (41'), Diaz (43'), Diaz (43'), Arthur (52'), Arthur (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Boca Juniors and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, August 10 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Cruzeiro
50.31% ( 0.14)	26.45% ( 0.01)	23.24% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 45.89% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.4% (

-0.14)

57.6% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.63% (

-0.11)

78.37% (

0.11)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77% (

23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.2% (

56.8% (

-0)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.59% (

-0.21)

40.4% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.98% (

-0.19)

77.02% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 50.29%

Cruzeiro 23.24%

Draw 26.45%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 50.29%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 23.24%