Copa Sudamericana
Jul 25, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Cristian Lema 34' yellowcard
  • Cristian Lema 34' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 39' goal
  • Edinson Cavani 39' goal
  • Milton Delgado 61' redcard
  • Milton Delgado 61' redcard
  • Luis Advincula 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Luis Advincula 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Schunke 58'
  • yellowcard Richard Schunke 58'
  • yellowcard Michael Hoyos 81'
  • yellowcard Michael Hoyos 81'
  • yellowcard Junior Sornoza 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Junior Sornoza 90'+8'

Boca Juniors vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jul 18, 2024 1.30am
Independiente 0 - 0 Boca Juniors

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jul 18, 2024 1.30am
Independiente 0 - 0 Boca Juniors

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result

Boca Juniors 61.66% (-0.18)
Draw 22.1% (+0.10)
Independiente del Valle 16.24% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.61% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.35% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 49.65% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 28.33% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 71.67% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 13.53% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 86.47% (+0.14)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 84.4% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 15.6% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 55.42% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 44.58% (+0.26)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 56.41% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 43.59% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 20.21% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 79.79% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 61.65%
Draw 22.1%
Independiente del Valle 16.24%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 12.63% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.27% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 61.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.8% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.1%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 5.65% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.36% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.34% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 16.24%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Jul 18, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio General Ruminahui del Valle de Los Chillos
  • Renato Ibarra 37' yellowcard
  • Renato Ibarra 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 2'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 2'
  • yellowcard Juan Ramirez 78'
  • yellowcard Juan Ramirez 78'