Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.