Copa Sudamericana
Jul 18, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio General Ruminahui del Valle de Los Chillos
  • Renato Ibarra 37' yellowcard
  • Renato Ibarra 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 2'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 2'
  • yellowcard Juan Ramirez 78'
  • yellowcard Juan Ramirez 78'

Independiente del Valle vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Independiente del Valle 42.46% (-0.22)
Draw 26.53% (+0.06)
Boca Juniors 31% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.24% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.56% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 53.44% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 25.04% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 74.96% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 11.38% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 88.62% (+0.10)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 75.09% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 24.91% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 40.46% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 59.53% (+0.27)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 68.24% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 31.75% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.82% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 68.18% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 42.46%
Draw 26.53%
Boca Juniors 31%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 10.99% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 42.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.91% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.53%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 9.07% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.23% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.77% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31%