Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Independiente del Valle	Draw	Boca Juniors
42.46% ( -0.22)	26.53% ( 0.06)	31% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56% (

-0.18)

53.44% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.04% (

-0.15)

74.96% (

0.15)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

-0.19)

24.91% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.46% (

-0.26)

59.53% (

0.27)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24% (

0.02)

31.75% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

0.03)

68.18% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Independiente del Valle 42.46%

Boca Juniors 31%

Draw 26.53%

Independiente del Valle	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.46%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31%