Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.