Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Cavani (61')
Fernandez (40'), Lema (65'), Blanco (71'), Fernandez (90+4'), Fernandez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomez (90+4')
Ordonez (90+3'), Caseres (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, June 2 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Tucuman
Sunday, June 2 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
54.99% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)26.16% (-0.283 -0.28)18.84% (0.324 0.32)
Both teams to score 41.25% (1.124 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.28% (1.219 1.22)60.72% (-1.222 -1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.22% (0.908 0.91)80.78% (-0.911 -0.91)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (0.49799999999999 0.5)22.28% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.745 0.74)55.73% (-0.747 -0.75)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.07% (1.113 1.11)46.92% (-1.115 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.57% (0.832 0.83)82.43% (-0.833 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 54.98%
    Velez Sarsfield 18.84%
    Draw 26.15%
Boca JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.69% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-0 @ 11.78% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.134 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 54.98%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.45% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-2 @ 4.49% (0.142 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.84%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield

Boca Juniors
85.2%
Draw
14.8%
Velez Sarsfield
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 5
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
Boca Juniors
Oct 2, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 22
Boca Juniors
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Morales (79')
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 9
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Boca Juniors
Oct 25, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Boca Juniors
Mancuello (39'), Tarragona (90')
Bouzat (59'), de los Santos (77')

Rojo (69')
Mar 8, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Velez Sarsfield
1-7
Boca Juniors
Martin Lucero (26')
Amor (19'), Galdames (57')
Cardona (21'), Villa (31', 53'), Maroni (55', 74'), Tevez (62'), Campuzano (89')
Capaldo (10'), Zambrano (25'), Campuzano (70')