Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 30, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
4 - 0
Nacional

Zenon (9', 9'), Cavani (14', 14'), Saracchi (19', 19'), Rojo (53', 53')
Fernandez (56'), Fernandez (56')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Mancilla (89'), Mancilla (89')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Boca Juniors and Nacional Potosi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Talleres
Sunday, May 26 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nacional Potosi

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Wednesday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 78.16%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 7.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.94%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Nacional Potosi
78.16% ( -1.23)	14.21% ( 0.74)	7.63% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 45.75% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.3% (

-1.76)

36.7% (

1.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.13% (

-1.94)

58.87% (

1.94)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.41% (

-0.64)

7.59% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.85% (

-1.68)

27.15% (

1.68)

Nacional Potosi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.51% (

0.02)

50.49% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.01% (

0.02)

84.99% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 78.15%

Nacional Potosi 7.63%

Draw 14.21%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Nacional Potosi
2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.19) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.57% Total : 78.15%	1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.65% Total : 14.21%	0-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.71% Total : 7.63%