Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Atletico Tucuman

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 1
Tucuman

Aquino (62', 62')
Bouzat (23'), Bouzat (23'), Gomez (28'), Gomez (28'), Garcia (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coronel (31', 31')
Sanchez (40'), Sanchez (40'), Garcia (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Platense
Tuesday, May 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
48.99% (-0.102 -0.1)28.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04)22.84% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 41.16% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.5% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)63.5% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.17% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)82.82% (0.062999999999988 0.06)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)26.24% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.122 -0.12)61.34% (0.12 0.12)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (0.004999999999999 0)80.29% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 48.98%
    Atletico Tucuman 22.84%
    Draw 28.16%
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 48.98%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.84%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Tucuman

Velez Sarsfield
100%
Draw
0.0%
Atletico Tucuman
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 8
Tucuman
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Estigarribia (61'), Castro (77'), Romero (86')
Romero (78'), Ordonez (90+6')
Oct 10, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Tucuman
Garcia (8'), Castro (12'), Florentin (18')
Garcia (50'), Osorio (64'), Gomez (90+2')
Coronel (61')
Acosta (16'), Coronel (90+5'), Giani (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 4
Tucuman
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Florentin (49')
Jul 2, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 6
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Tucuman

Caseres (26'), Florentin (38'), Insua (82'), Brizuela (88')
Capasso (18')
Sandoval (43'), Pereyra (67')
> Preview
Aug 3, 2021 1.15am
Second Phase
Tucuman
0-0
Velez Sarsfield