Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.