Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.