Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.