Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
45.64% ( 2.53)	29.03% ( 0.44)	25.33% ( -2.97)

Both teams to score 41.19% (

-2.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.43% (

-2.71)

64.57% (

2.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.41% (

-1.96)

83.59% (

1.95)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56% (

0.04)

28.44% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.8% (

0.05)

64.2% (

-0.06)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.57% (

-4.12)

42.43% (

4.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.19% (

-3.74)

78.81% (

3.74)

Score Analysis

Atletico Tucuman 45.64%

Defensa y Justicia 25.32%

Draw 29.01%

Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.17% ( 1.47) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.93) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 45.64%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 12.06% ( 1.15) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.46) Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.01%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.73) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.11% Total : 25.32%