Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 8.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.5%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.