Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.