Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 46.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.