Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 43.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.