Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 43.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.