Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Jul 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
0 - 0
Boca Juniors

(90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Blanco (16'), Blanco (16'), Di Lollo (35'), Di Lollo (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Instituto
Friday, July 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Independiente
Thursday, July 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 43.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 27.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
InstitutoDrawBoca Juniors
27.34% (0.074999999999999 0.07)29.56% (0.158 0.16)43.09% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 41.18% (-0.346 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.75% (-0.445 -0.45)65.24% (0.43900000000001 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.93% (-0.313 -0.31)84.06% (0.307 0.31)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.97% (-0.193 -0.19)41.02% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.42% (-0.171 -0.17)77.57% (0.164 0.16)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.358 -0.36)30.16% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (-0.427 -0.43)66.31% (0.42099999999999 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 27.34%
    Boca Juniors 43.09%
    Draw 29.56%
InstitutoDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 5.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 27.34%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.37% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.56%
0-1 @ 14.83% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 43.09%

How you voted: Instituto vs Boca Juniors

Instituto
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Boca Juniors
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 8
Boca Juniors
2-3
Instituto
Payero (45+2'), Merentiel (85')
Varela (12'), Martinez (19'), Rodriguez (46')