Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Aug 27, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
1 - 1
Boca Juniors

Cetre (80', 80')
Lollo (73'), Lollo (73'), Mansilla (76'), Mansilla (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gimenez (53', 53')
Gimenez (55'), Gimenez (55'), Blanco (77'), Blanco (77')
Gimenez (90+6'), Gimenez (90+6')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, August 18 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Boca Juniors (5-4 pen.)
Friday, August 23 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Boca Juniors
43.28% ( -0.14)	27.89% ( 0.13)	28.82%

Both teams to score 46.25% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.69% (

-0.47)

59.31% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.29% (

-0.37)

79.71% (

0.36)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

-0.3)

27.18% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

-0.39)

62.58% (

0.38)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.51% (

-0.25)

36.48% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73% (

-0.26)

73.27% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 43.28%

Boca Juniors 28.82%

Draw 27.89%

Estudiantes	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 43.28%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.89%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.82%