Copa Sudamericana
Aug 23, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Matheus Henrique 9' goal
  • Matheus Henrique 9' goal
  • Walace 21' goal
  • Walace 21' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 48' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 48' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 61' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 61' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 63' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 63' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • redcard Luis Advincula 1'
  • redcard Luis Advincula 1'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 43'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 43'
  • goal Milton Gimenez 45'+3'
  • goal Milton Gimenez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Fernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Fernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Kevin Zenon 54'
  • yellowcard Kevin Zenon 54'
  • yellowcard Diego Martinez 55'
  • yellowcard Diego Martinez 55'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 82'
  • yellowcard Milton Gimenez 82'
  • yellowcard Milton Gimenez 89'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 89'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 90'+5'

Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Aug 16, 2024 1.30am
Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Cruzeiro

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Aug 16, 2024 1.30am
Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Cruzeiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result

Cruzeiro 47.08% (-0.04)
Draw 27.13% (+0.12)
Boca Juniors 25.79% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.37% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.83% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 58.17% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 21.18% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 78.82% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 9.02% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 90.98% (+0.22)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 75.26% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 24.74% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 40.7% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 59.3% (+0.32)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 61.62% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 38.38% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 24.86% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 75.14% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 47.08%
Draw 27.13%
Boca Juniors 25.79%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.26% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 9.26% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 47.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.5% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.13%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 9.09% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 25.79%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Aug 16, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Guillermo Fernandez 23' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 23' yellowcard
  • Diego Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Diego Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 65' goal
  • Edinson Cavani 65' goal
  • Exequiel Zeballos 90' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Zeballos 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 23'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 23'
  • yellowcard Walace 30'
  • yellowcard Walace 30'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 41'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 41'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Diaz 43'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Diaz 43'
  • yellowcard Arthur 52'
  • yellowcard Arthur 52'
Oct 5, 2018 1.45am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Egidio 36' yellowcard
  • Dede 51' yellowcard
  • Sassa 58' goal
  • Rafael 78' yellowcard
  • Dede 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Perez 22'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavon 78'
  • goal Cristian Pavon 94'
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 96'
Sep 20, 2018 1.45am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mauro Zarate 36' goal
  • Lucas Olaza 55' yellowcard
  • Pablo Perez 82' goal
  • Nahitan Nandez 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Dede 75'
  • yellowcard Edilson Mendes 92'