Cruzeiro
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
2 - 1
Boca Juniors

Henrique (9', 9'), Walace (21', 21')
Ivaldo (48'), Ivaldo (48'), Pereira (61'), Pereira (61'), Pereira (63'), Henrique (63'), Villalba (90+5'), Villalba (90+5')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Gimenez (45+3', 45+3')
Blanco (43'), Blanco (43'), Fernandez (52'), Fernandez (52'), Zenon (54'), Zenon (54'), Martinez (55'), Martinez (55'), Henrique (82'), Gimenez (82'), Gimenez (89'), Rojo (89'), Rojo (90+5'), Medel (90+5')
Advincula (1'), Advincula (1')
Cruzeiro win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Cruzeiro and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vitoria 2-2 Cruzeiro
Tuesday, August 20 at 12am in Brasileiro

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-2 San Lorenzo
Sunday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawBoca Juniors
47.08% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)27.13% (0.118 0.12)25.79% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.37% (-0.381 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.83% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)58.17% (0.461 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (-0.362 -0.36)78.82% (0.363 0.36)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.223 -0.22)24.74% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7% (-0.313 -0.31)59.3% (0.314 0.31)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62% (-0.322 -0.32)38.38% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86% (-0.311 -0.31)75.14% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 47.08%
    Boca Juniors 25.79%
    Draw 27.13%
CruzeiroDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 13.26% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.165 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 25.79%

How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors

Cruzeiro
20.8%
Draw
20.8%
Boca Juniors
58.3%
24
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Boca Juniors
1-0
Cruzeiro
Cavani (65')
Fernandez (23'), Martinez (24'), Zeballos (90')

Pereira (23'), Walace (30'), Romero (41'), Diaz (43'), Arthur (52')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2018 1.45am
-
Cruzeiro
1-1
Boca Juniors
Sassa (58')
Egidio (36'), Dede (51'), Rafael (78')
Dede (81')
Pavon (94')
Perez (22'), Pavon (78'), Nandez (96')
Sep 20, 2018 1.45am
-
Boca Juniors
2-0
Cruzeiro
Zarate (36'), Perez (82')
Olaza (55'), Nandez (90')

Mendes (92')
Dede (75')