Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 3, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Estudiantes

Newell's OB
1 - 4
Estudiantes

Perez (6', 6', 6')
Calderara (61'), Calderara (61'), Calderara (61'), Fernandez (86'), Fernandez (86'), Fernandez (86')
FT(HT: 3-6)
Carrillo (13', 13', 13', 47', 47', 47'), Piatti (34', 34', 34', 55', 55', 55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Newell's OB
Saturday, July 27 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 4-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, July 28 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 2-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawEstudiantes
37.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)30.6% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)32.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 40.35% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.9% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)67.1% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.66% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)85.33% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (0.037999999999997 0.04)34.62% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.039999999999999 0.04)71.34% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)38.28% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)75.04% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 37.31%
    Estudiantes 32.07%
    Draw 30.59%
Newell's Old BoysDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 14.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.31%
1-1 @ 13.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 13.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.59%
0-1 @ 12.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 32.07%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs Estudiantes

Newell's Old Boys
60.0%
Draw
25.0%
Estudiantes
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2024 10.15pm
Gameweek 6
Estudiantes
2-0
Newell's OB
Mendez (82', 90+2')
Sosa (33'), Mancuso (46'), Benedetti (59'), Altamirano (69')

Martino (49'), Fernandez (84')
Banega (25')
Sep 24, 2023 9.45pm
Gameweek 6
Newell's OB
0-1
Estudiantes

Ferreira (27'), Gomez (74')
May (63')
Sosa (57')
Benedetti (18'), Mendez (43'), Moreno Diaz (90+1')
Mar 31, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 9
Estudiantes
3-0
Newell's OB
Ascacibar (25'), Boselli (34'), Godoy (46')
Jun 25, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 5
Estudiantes
0-2
Newell's OB

Zuqui (52'), Rogel (66')
Sordo (57'), Garro (72')
Ditta (6'), Fernandez (43'), Jacob (75')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2021 1am
Second Phase
Newell's OB
4-2
Estudiantes
Scocco (11'), Castro (61', 74'), Giani (71')
Castro (36', 63')
Pasquini (16')