Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 30, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Estudiantes

Newell's OB
4 - 2
Estudiantes

Scocco (11'), Castro (61', 74'), Giani (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Castro (36', 63')
Pasquini (16')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and Estudiantes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawEstudiantes
34.05%28.62%37.33%
Both teams to score 45.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.44%60.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.34%80.67%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68%33.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06%69.94%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81%31.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47%67.54%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 34.05%
    Estudiantes 37.32%
    Draw 28.61%
Newell's Old BoysDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.05%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 12.1%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 37.32%