Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.