Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.48%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.