Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio CAP

Huachipato
0 - 2
Racing


Alfredo Cerda Valdes (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (32'), Quintero (89' pen.)
Rodriguez (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Huachipato and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Racing 0-1 Huachipato (0-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Racing 0-1 Gimnasia
Saturday, August 10 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Huachipato had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Huachipato win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
HuachipatoDrawRacing Club
29.92% (-0.194 -0.19)26.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.54% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)53.83% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)75.3% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Huachipato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-0.184 -0.18)32.73% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-0.208 -0.21)69.29% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (0.055999999999997 0.06)24.55% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (0.077999999999996 0.08)59.02% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Huachipato 29.93%
    Racing Club 43.54%
    Draw 26.53%
HuachipatoDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.85% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.54%

How you voted: Huachipato vs Racing

Huachipato
11.1%
Draw
0.0%
Racing Club
88.9%
9
rhs 2.0


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