Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.