Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Huachipato	Draw	Racing de Montevideo
51.05% ( -0.15)	24.51% ( 0.03)	24.45% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 52.8% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.84% (

-0.03)

49.16% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77% (

-0.03)

71.23% (

0.03)

Huachipato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.07)

19.26% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

-0.11)

50.98% (

0.12)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39% (

0.09)

34.61% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67% (

0.09)

71.33% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Huachipato 51.04%

Racing de Montevideo 24.45%

Draw 24.5%

Huachipato	Draw	Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 51.04%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 24.45%