Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing Club	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
47.26% ( 0.07)	26.56% ( -0.03)	26.18% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.27% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.12% (

0.06)

55.87% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.01% (

0.05)

76.98% (

-0.05)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

0.06)

23.65% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.25% (

0.09)

57.75% (

-0.09)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.22% (

-0)

36.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.43% (

-0.01)

73.56% (

Score Analysis

Racing Club 47.25%

Athletico Paranaense 26.18%

Draw 26.55%

Racing Club	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 47.25%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.18%