Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Criciuma win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
25.16% ( -2.74)	25.38% ( -1.51)	49.45% ( 4.24)

Both teams to score 50.84% (

2.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91% (

4.01)

52.08% (

-4.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

3.36)

73.81% (

-3.36)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

-0.1)

35.58% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.65% (

-0.11)

72.35% (

0.1)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

3.64)

21.08% (

-3.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.1% (

5.38)

53.89% (

-5.38)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 25.16%

Athletico Paranaense 49.45%

Draw 25.37%

Criciuma	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 7.75% ( -1.34) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 4% ( -0.71) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.25) Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.16%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.64) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -1.27) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.53) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.74) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.73) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.38) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.45) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.44) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.45%