Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 75.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 7.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.03%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Criciuma
75.78% ( 0.24)	16.29% ( -0.13)	7.92% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 39.71% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.45% (

0.2)

45.55% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.12% (

0.19)

67.88% (

-0.19)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.71% (

0.11)

10.28% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.32% (

0.26)

33.67% (

-0.26)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.26% (

-0.14)

55.74% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.68% (

-0.08)

88.32% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 75.76%

Criciuma 7.92%

Draw 16.29%

Palmeiras	Draw	Criciuma
2-0 @ 14.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 75.76%	1-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 16.29%	0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.37% Total : 7.92%