Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Cuiaba
48.79% ( -0.6)	27.43% ( 0.22)	23.78% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 43.86% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.5% (

-0.45)

60.5% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.38% (

-0.34)

80.62% (

0.34)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

-0.48)

24.96% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

-0.67)

59.61% (

0.68)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.46% (

0.12)

41.54% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.96% (

0.1)

78.03% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 48.79%

Cuiaba 23.78%

Draw 27.43%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 14.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 48.79%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.19% Total : 23.78%