Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.