Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 6, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
1 - 1
Juventude

Payet (10', 10')
Dominguez (29'), Dominguez (29')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Guilherme Mendes dos Santos (3', 3')
Gilberto (45+2'), Freitas (45+3'), Gilberto (45+2'), Freitas (45+3'), Marcos (75'), Marcos (75')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Juventude.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Vasco
Wednesday, October 2 at 11.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, September 29 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawJuventude
50.24% (0.339 0.34)25.13% (-0.135 -0.13)24.62% (-0.21 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.05% (0.197 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.36 0.36)51.54% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.31 0.31)73.34% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.285 0.28)20.53% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.454 0.45)53.03% (-0.459 -0.46)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.75% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)72.52% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 50.24%
    Juventude 24.62%
    Draw 25.13%
Vasco da GamaDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 11.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 24.62%

Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 12am
Gameweek 10
Juventude
2-0
Vasco
Barbosa (52'), Carlos (90+8')
Barbosa (84'), Gustavo da Silva Machado Duarte (90+2')

Gabriel (3'), Galdames (32'), Serginho (70')
Luis (90+6')