Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.