Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Sep 25, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 0
Fluminense

(Atletico Mineiro win 2-1 on aggregate)

Deyverson (50', 88')
Hulk (28'), Bernard (44'), Deyverson (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fuentes (74'), Fabio (84'), Martinelli (90'), Arias (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Bragantino
Sunday, September 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fluminense

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Fluminense 0-1 Botafogo
Saturday, September 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fluminense
49.27% ( 0.15)	26.6% ( -0.03)	24.12% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 46.37% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.57% (

-0)

57.43% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.76% (

-0)

78.24% (

-0)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

0.07)

23.39% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

0.1)

57.37% (

-0.1)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.53% (

-0.12)

39.47% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

-0.11)

76.16% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 49.27%

Fluminense 24.12%

Draw 26.59%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 49.27%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 24.12%