Copa Libertadores
Sep 25, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Hulk 28' yellowcard
  • Bernard 44' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 50' goal
  • Deyverson 63' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 88' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Fuentes 74'
  • yellowcard Fabio 84'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 90'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 90'+9'

Atletico Mineiro vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Sep 18, 2024 11.00pm
Fluminense 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Sep 18, 2024 11.00pm
Fluminense 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 49.27% (+0.16)
Draw 26.6% (-0.03)
Fluminense 24.12% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.37% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.57% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 57.43% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 21.76% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 78.24% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 9.37% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.63%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 76.61% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 23.39% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 42.62% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 57.37% (-0.11)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 60.53% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 39.47% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 23.83% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 76.16% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 49.27%
Draw 26.59%
Fluminense 24.12%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.41% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.74% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.39% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 49.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.59%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 24.12%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Sep 18, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Vinicius Lima 80' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 87' goal
  • Thiago 90' yellowcard
  • Brahian Palacios 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 78'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 25, 2024 1.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Bruno Fuchs 23' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fuchs 23' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 42' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 42' yellowcard
  • Rubens 63' yellowcard
  • Rubens 63' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 78' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 78' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 81' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Serna 23'
  • goal Kevin Serna 23'
  • yellowcard Ganso 43'
  • yellowcard Ganso 43'
  • goal Jhon Arias 59'
  • goal Jhon Arias 59'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 71'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 71'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 74'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 74'
  • yellowcard Fabio 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabio 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 4, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • German Cano 4' goal
  • Diogo Barbosa 12' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 20' yellowcard
  • German Cano 31' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 43' yellowcard
  • Ganso 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Renato Augusto 61' goal
  • yellowcard Jemerson 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 51'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 73'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 29, 2023 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
  • Rubens 52' yellowcard
  • Rubens 52' yellowcard
  • Jemerson 59' yellowcard
  • Jemerson 59' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 62' goal
  • Paulinho 62' goal
  • Paulinho 83' goal
  • Paulinho 83' goal
  • yellowcard Lele 49'
  • yellowcard Lele 50'
  • yellowcard Fernando Diniz 50'
  • yellowcard Fernando Diniz 51'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Municipal General Raulino de Oliveira
  • Samuel Xavier 45'+1' goal
  • Samuel Xavier 45'+1' goal
  • goal Guga 35' (OG)
  • goal Guga 35' (OG)
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 1, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hulk 41' goal
  • Hulk 65' goal