Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.