Cuiaba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 5, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Pantanal
Sao Paulo

Cuiaba
2 - 0
Sao Paulo

Pitta (4'), Clayson (42')
Fernandes (19'), Alexandre (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Moura (21'), Arboleda (38')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba

All competitions
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.

Result
CuiabaDrawSao Paulo
36.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.8% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.32% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)64.68% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.33% (-0.038 -0.04)83.66% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)33.96% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)70.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)35.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)72.46% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 36.34%
    Sao Paulo 33.79%
    Draw 29.84%
CuiabaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 13.48%
0-0 @ 12.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.84%
0-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 33.79%

Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 12am
Gameweek 10
Sao Paulo
0-1
Cuiaba

Alisson (36'), Gomes Carvalho Santos (78')
Chrystian Pereira Silva (82')
Alexandre (85'), Reis Ferreira (87'), Ramon (88'), Ramon (88')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 35
Sao Paulo
0-0
Cuiaba
Arboleda (71'), Erison (90+4')
Jul 22, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 16
Cuiaba
2-1
Sao Paulo
Clayson (66' pen.), Pitta (78')
Cafu (47'), Marllon (75')
Mendes (90+9')
Diego (30'), Calleri (47'), Luciano (60'), Erison (86'), Maia (90+7')
Junior (60+60')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 25
Cuiaba
1-1
Sao Paulo
Deyverson (7' pen.)
Luizao (80')
May 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Sao Paulo
2-1
Cuiaba
Calleri (66' pen.), Nikao (82')
Luciano (45+1'), Gomes (86')
Jenison (33')
Marllon (62')
Cafu (75')