Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Oct 26, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Fluminense

Vitoria
2 - 1
Fluminense

Neris (45+1'), Alerrandro (90+2' pen.)
Silva (36'), Caceres (74'), Naldi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Willians Assis Arcanjo (61' og.)
Thiago (26'), Alerrandro (90+3')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitoria 1-0 Bragantino
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Athletico PR
Tuesday, October 22 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria would win this match.

Result
VitoriaDrawFluminense
38.07% (0.011000000000003 0.01)28.32% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)33.61% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.43% (0.016999999999996 0.02)59.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.09% (0.013000000000002 0.01)79.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.25% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)66.42% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (0.004999999999999 0)69.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 38.06%
    Fluminense 33.61%
    Draw 28.31%
VitoriaDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 11.07%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.61%

Head to Head
Jun 27, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 12
Fluminense
0-1
Vitoria

Gabriel (31'), Xavier (61'), Alexsander (63')
Janderson (90')
Carpini (32'), Vinicius (34')
Sep 6, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 23
Fluminense
0-0
Vitoria
Ayrton (83')
Bou (54')
May 6, 2018 8pm
Vitoria
1-2
Fluminense
Neilton (21')
Kanu (28'), Rhayner (80')
Dyego (73'), Gilberto (86')
Jadson (32')