Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.