Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Sep 26, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 0
Flamengo

(Penarol win 1-0 on aggregate)

Plata (20'), Ortiz (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Penarol and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Cerro 0-5 Penarol
Sunday, September 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Flamengo
30.04% ( -0.15)	28.32% ( 0.03)	41.64% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 45.65% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.65% (

-0.14)

60.35% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.49% (

-0.1)

80.5% (

0.1)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9% (

-0.19)

36.1% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12% (

-0.19)

72.88% (

0.19)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

28.56% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64% (

64.35% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Penarol 30.03%

Flamengo 41.64%

Draw 28.32%

Penarol	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 30.03%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.32%	0-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.64%