Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
4 - 0
Rampla

Silvera (44'), Baez (69'), Fernandez (79' pen.), Batista (86')
Olivera (53'), Fernandez (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)

Barrandeguy (34'), Fermin Centurion (75')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Rampla Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-2 Penarol
Saturday, September 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Rampla Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Rampla 2-0 Progreso
Sunday, September 8 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 11.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.58%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawRampla Juniors
66.12% (0.10899999999999 0.11)21.93% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)11.95% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 37.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14% (0.105 0.11)56.86% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21% (0.084 0.08)77.78% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (0.075999999999993 0.08)16.58% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (0.133 0.13)46.38% (-0.132 -0.13)
Rampla Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)54.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.43% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)87.57% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 66.11%
    Rampla Juniors 11.95%
    Draw 21.93%
PenarolDrawRampla Juniors
1-0 @ 16.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 14.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.73% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.92% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 66.11%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.93%
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 11.95%

Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 3
Rampla
0-3
Penarol

Anasco (55'), Gabriel (90')
Graces (73')
Coelho (45+1'), Fernandez (76' pen.), Babi (82')
Rodriguez (47')
Sep 19, 2019 12am
Rampla
1-2
Penarol
Nunez (79')
Rizzo (53'), Diaz (68'), Beltran (90')
Soto (71')
Martinez (39'), Formiliano (45')
Martinez (26'), Rojas (31'), Pereira (48')
Feb 23, 2019 11pm
Penarol
5-0
Rampla
Fernandez (11'), Rodriguez (69'), Hernandez (82'), Rodriguez (85'), Acevedo (90')
Canobbio (16'), Fernandez (38'), Gonzalez (72')

Felipe (18'), Martinez (38'), Pereira (44'), Saavedra (67'), Melazzi (71')
Melazzi (73')
Oct 7, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 11
Rampla
1-0
Penarol
Coccaro (45')
Soto (4'), Rocha (8'), Candido (33'), Odriozola (57'), Rizzo (68'), Burbano (91')

Hernandez (92')
Apr 8, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-1
Rampla
Canobbio (3'), Rodriguez (17')
Varela (25'), Formiliano (43'), Arias (84')
Martinones (60' pen.)
Techera (22'), de Leon (31'), Felipe (50'), Soto (64'), Galli (73')
de Leon (91')