Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
6
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-
Javier Mendez
23'
-
Facundo Batista
52'
-
Agustin Alfaro
44'
-
Jesus Sebastian da Silva Mattos
65'
Penarol vs Fenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result
Penarol
46.01%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
28.35%
▲
(+0.12)
Fenix
25.64%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
43.09%
▼
(-0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
37.69%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 2.5
62.31%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 3.5
18.03%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
81.96%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 4.5
7.23%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
92.76%
▲
(+0.17)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
72.83%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
27.17%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
37.43%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
62.57%
▲
(+0.29)
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5
59.16%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
40.84%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
22.58%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
77.41%
▲
(+0.27)
Score analysis
Penarol
46%
Draw
28.34%
Fenix
25.64%
Penarol
1-0
@
14.45%
▲
(+0.13)
2-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 46%
2-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 46%
Draw
1-1
@
12.94%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.09% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.34%
0-0 @ 11.09% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.34%
Fenix
0-1
@
9.94%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 25.64%
1-2 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 25.64%