Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 22, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Penarol

Progreso
P-P
Penarol


Garcia (44'), Cardozo (45+1'), Cabrera (84'), Fernandez (85')
Gonzalez (61'), Fernandez (90+1')
Sequeira (69'), Rodriguez (81'), Cabrera (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, June 16 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Sunday, June 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawPenarol
25.99% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)25.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)48.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.98% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)52.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.96% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.72% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.59% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.009999999999998 0.01)54.69% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 25.99%
    Penarol 48.42%
    Draw 25.58%
ProgresoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 25.99%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 11.57%
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.42%

Head to Head
May 24, 2024 12am
Gameweek 14
Penarol
3-1
Progreso
Coelho (59', 70'), Hernandez (90+2')
Sosa (54'), Coelho (66'), Gonzalez (72')
Gianoli (44' og.)
Poiso (40'), Marta (63'), Piegas (78'), Silvera (83')
Nov 25, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Progreso
0-0
Penarol
Fuerte (29'), Viera (47'), Formento (56'), Barboza (63'), Romero (76')
Gonzalez (51'), Elizalde (53'), Gargano (67'), Laquintana (71'), Musto (90+1')
Aug 14, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
1-0
Progreso
Alvarez (81')
Nahuelpan (42')

Barboza (14'), Bentaberry (34'), Arias (62'), Ferreira (89')
Mar 25, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 14
Progreso
0-2
Penarol

Alejandro Gallardo Gonzalez (52'), Loffreda (89')
Kagelmacher (45+2'), A (59')
Oct 6, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
2-1
Progreso
Formiliano (56'), Gonzalez (69')
Piquerez (71'), Alvarez (84')
Alvarez (90+1')
Alles (84' pen.)
Loffreda (33'), Andrada (55'), Marta (85'), Platero (88')
Andrada (62')
rhs 2.0


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