Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 6, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
1 - 1
Maldonado

Olivera (84')
Fernandez (45'), Garcia (89'), Romero (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Larrazabal (2')
Rodriguez (21'), Cartagena (66'), Gonzalez (90+7'), Noble (90+2')
Cartagena (75')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Sunday, June 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Last Game: Maldonado 1-3 Fenix
Saturday, June 22 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
55.4% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)25.96% (0.172 0.17)18.65% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 41.46% (-0.605 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.72% (-0.697 -0.7)60.28% (0.7 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.55% (-0.532 -0.53)80.45% (0.535 0.53)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)21.93% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8% (-0.471 -0.47)55.2% (0.472 0.47)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.1% (-0.562 -0.56)46.9% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.59% (-0.43 -0.43)82.41% (0.432 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 55.39%
    Deportivo Maldonado 18.65%
    Draw 25.95%
PenarolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 15.6% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 55.39%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.28% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.47% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.65%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 7
Maldonado
1-2
Penarol
Gonzalez (11')
Noble (13'), Rodriguez (74'), Alfaro (80'), Petryk (83')
Alfaro (88')
Silvera (72'), Darias (79')
Ramirez (12')
Oct 14, 2023 1am
Gameweek 5
Maldonado
0-1
Penarol

Cayetano (53'), Alfaro (90+5'), Darias (90+3')
Arezo (30')
Hernandez (16'), Olivera (36'), Tealde (90+5'), Rodriguez (90+5')
Mar 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Penarol
2-1
Maldonado
Sanchez (29'), Arezo (71')
Cantera (25')
Aug 22, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 6
Maldonado
1-1
Penarol
Viatri (70' og.)
Rodriguez (20'), Romero (36'), Piriz (38'), Darias (57'), Cayetano (61'), Reyes (80'), Ferreira (90+5')
Rak (47')
Menosse (32'), Gargano (75')
Jun 19, 2022 9.30pm
Gameweek 2
Maldonado
1-3
Penarol
Arias (76' og.)
Darias (14'), Gonzalez (54'), Cotugno (87'), Lima (89')
Bentancourt (60'), Laquintana (74'), Ceppelini (88' pen.)
Musto (44'), Elizalde (45'), Dawson (90+3'), Menosse (90+3')
Elizalde (80')