Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.68%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Defensor Sporting
20.84%	25.19%	53.96%

Both teams to score 46.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69%

55.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47%

76.53%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.48%

41.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98%

78.01%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5%

20.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.01%

52.98%

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 20.84%

Defensor Sporting 53.95%

Draw 25.19%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 7.48% 2-1 @ 5.21% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.21% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.84%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 13.48% 0-2 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-3 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-4 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.95%