Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Jun 22, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Estadio Julio Cesar Abbadie

Maldonado
1 - 3
Fenix

Noble (43')
Nunez (45+4'), Trasante (47')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rodriguez (7'), Fernandez (64'), Dudu (79')
Sebastian da Silva Mattos (69'), Pereira (81'), Schetino (87')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Maldonado
Saturday, June 15 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Fenix

All competitions

Last Game: Fenix 3-1 Wanderers
Sunday, June 16 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Fenix
29.64% ( -0.01)	28.6% ( -0.02)	41.76% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.73% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.58% (

0.05)

61.42% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.69% (

0.04)

81.31% (

-0.04)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63% (

0.02)

36.99% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.22% (

0.02)

73.78% (

-0.02)

Fenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98% (

0.04)

29.01% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08% (

0.05)

64.91% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 29.63%

Fenix 41.76%

Draw 28.59%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Fenix
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.63%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.59%	0-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 41.76%