Copa Libertadores
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-
Diego Wayar
17'
-
Enrique Triverio
44'
-
Abdiel Ayarza
57'
-
Dario Aimar
63'
-
Washington Aguerre
53'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
64'
-
Jaime Baez
90'
The Strongest vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for The Strongest in this match.
Result
The Strongest
54.66%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
23.87%
▼
(-0.05)
Penarol
21.46%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
51.17%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.46%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
49.54%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
28.43%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
71.57%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
13.59%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
86.4%
▼
(-0.08)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5
81.98%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
18.01%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
51.11%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
48.88%
▼
(-0.17)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
62.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
37.59%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
25.63%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
74.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
The Strongest
54.65%
Draw
23.87%
Penarol
21.46%
The Strongest
1-0
@
11.6%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 54.65%
2-0 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 54.65%
Draw
1-1
@
11.35%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.87%
0-0 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.87%
Penarol
0-1
@
6.62%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.46%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
-
Leonardo Fernandez
9'
-
Maximiliano Silvera
16'
-
Eduardo Darias
27'
-
Jaime Baez
36'
-
Facundo Batista
72'
-
Adrian Jusino
59'
-
Rodrigo Ramallo
71'
-
Michael Ortega
85'
Gameweek
6
-
Cristian Palacios
20'
-
Cristian Rodriguez
37'
-
Franco Martinez
56'
-
Franco Martinez
66'
-
Ramiro Ballivian
27'
-
Agustin Jara
57'
Gameweek
1
-
Edison Carcelen
20'
-
Edison Carcelen
53'
-
Jhasmani Campos
72'
-
Fernando Martelli
94'
-
Cristian Palacios
13'
-
Rodrigo Rojo
32'
-
Luis Maldonado
53'