Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol4 - 0The Strongest
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Penarol (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, August 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, August 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Gremio 4-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, May 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
We said: Penarol 2-0 The Strongest
Having scored at least two goals at home in the group stage, Penarol will hope to continue that run against one of the worst travellers among the qualified teams, keen to go into next week's reverse fixture in La Paz with a positive result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | The Strongest |
49.46% ( -0.02) | 25.77% | 24.76% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
