Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1

Aug 17, 2024 at 9pm UK

Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 0
Cerro Largo

Prado (29'), Contrera (45+2'), Mir (84'), Assis (86'), Cabrera (87'), Cabral (90+3'), Cabral (90+3')
Mir (90+6')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Penarol 4-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, August 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Cerro Largo

All competitions

Last Game: Miramar Misiones 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.16%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.51%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Cerro Largo
60.09% ( -0.13)	25.88% ( 0.27)	14.03% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 33.96% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.45% (

-0.91)

65.54% (

0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.73% (

-0.64)

84.27% (

0.64)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.8% (

-0.44)

22.2% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.38% (

-0.67)

55.62% (

0.67)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.65% (

-0.77)

56.35% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.32% (

-0.45)

88.67% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Penarol 60.07%

Cerro Largo 14.03%

Draw 25.88%

Penarol	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 18.82% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 14.16% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.07%	0-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.42) 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.24% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.03%