Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Penarol

Cerro
0 - 5
Penarol


Alvarez (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Batista (2', 15', 62'), Babi (80', 90+1')
Suarez (54'), Rossi (77')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 0-1 Cerro
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Flamengo 0-1 Penarol
Thursday, September 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
CerroDrawPenarol
22.93% (-0.377 -0.38)27.52% (-0.012 -0.01)49.55% (0.389 0.39)
Both teams to score 42.84% (-0.334 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.61% (-0.231 -0.23)61.39% (0.232 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.72% (-0.172 -0.17)81.28% (0.172 0.17)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.12% (-0.506 -0.51)42.88% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.81% (-0.43 -0.43)79.19% (0.431 0.43)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.079999999999998 0.08)25% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.11 0.11)59.66% (-0.109 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 22.93%
    Penarol 49.55%
    Draw 27.51%
CerroDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 5.33% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.84% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 22.93%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 14.86% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 10.3% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.76% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 49.55%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
3-0
Cerro
Silvera (3'), Fernandez (81', 90' pen.)
Cabrera (23'), Rodriguez (30')

Gonzalez (23'), Rabunal (37'), Llana (54'), Abero (69')
Pallas (33'), Gonzalez (78')
Aug 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Penarol
Nandin (13')
Cabrera (49'), Garcia (57'), Evar Gomez Silveira (59')
Hernandez (52')
Cristoforo (27'), Hernandez (77')
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Penarol
2-0
Cerro
Arezo (19'), Sanchez (56' pen.)
Jan 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Penarol
Cabrera (60' pen.)
Gonzalez (44'), Tancredi (64')
Urreta (22')
Urreta (35'), Herrera (41'), Formiliano (76')
Dawson (57')
Feb 15, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 1
Penarol
2-1
Cerro
Xisco (10'), Trindade (90')
Gonzalez (22'), Abascal (51'), Xisco (61')
Cardozo (71')
Paiva (29')
Moreira (51'), Brasil (74')