Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.