Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 22, 2024 at 2pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
0 - 0
Danubio


Rabunal (36')
FT

Peralta (35'), Ferreira (53')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-0 Cerro
Friday, June 14 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 2-0 Rampla
Sunday, June 16 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 37%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawDanubio
37% (0.027000000000001 0.03)29.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)33.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.12% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.69% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.75% (0.013000000000002 0.01)82.24% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.025999999999996 0.03)32.49% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)69.01% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)34.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)71.36% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 37%
    Danubio 33.76%
    Draw 29.23%
CerroDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 12.65%
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 37%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.23%
0-1 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 33.76%

Head to Head
May 11, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Cerro
2-0
Danubio
Peralta (18'), Lacoste (27')
Abero (13'), Scorza (34')

Lewis (26'), Fracchia (56'), Fernandez (73'), Fernandez (74'), Ancheta (90+7')
Oct 19, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 6
Cerro
1-1
Danubio
Coccaro (65' pen.)
Caceres (12'), Denis (60'), Coronel (90+6')
Denis (90+8')
Branda (7')
Zarate (22'), Sosa (45+2'), Lewis (45+5'), Goicoechea (64'), Ferreira (73')
Mar 12, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 6
Danubio
1-0
Cerro
Cruz (38')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Danubio
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Jones (30' pen.)
Sosa (19'), Siri (66'), Victorino (75'), Fritzler (90+7'), Bermudez (90+8')
Garcia (35')
Caceres (56'), Nunez (87')
Aug 30, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Cerro
1-2
Danubio
Villar (11')
Izquierdo (44'), Moreira (56'), Tancredi (84'), Lopez (90+2')
Filgueira (90')
Nequecaur (6'), Labandeira (71')
Pineiro (47'), Rodriguez (70')